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From fiscal trends to retail participation and valuation cycles, here are a few signals that stood out:

  • Direct tax collections continue to grow, while indirect taxes show early signs of softness.
  • Government expenditure is rising steadily, with capex growth far outpacing overall spend.
  • The value of securities held in demat accounts has grown fivefold to ₹535 trillion — now ~165% of GDP.
  • Hotel demand in India continues to outstrip supply, supporting sector pricing power.
  • Recent PSU value creation has been driven by earnings growth rather than valuation re-rating.
  • The US yield curve is steepening as long-term yields rise even while policy rates ease.
  • Active equity inflows into NFOs reflect market cycles — rising in strong phases, moderating otherwise.
  • SIP inflows continue their structural uptrend, reinforcing sticky retail equity participation.

 

Also in the deck:
– Price remains a key decision factor, even as EV buyers show willingness to pay a premium
– US equity valuations look elevated in isolation, but are supported by strong margins and ROE in the AI cycle

 

Swipe through the full deck for charts, data, and our sources.
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